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U.S. Department of the Interior Fish and Wildlife Service and Environment Canada Canadian Wildlife Service ALBERTA SASKATCHEWAN MANITOBA MONTANA NORTH DAKOTA SOUTH DAKOTA NORTH BATTLEFORD SASKATOON PRINCE ALBERT WYNYARD KINDERSLEY SWIFT CURRENT MOOSE JAW YORKTON REGINA BROADVIEW ESTEVAN 2001 WATERFOWL P RODUCTION S URVEY SOUTHERN S ASKATCHEWAN 31 30 33 32 34 35 TITLE: Waterfowl Production and Habitat Survey for Southern Saskatchewan STRATA SURVEYED: 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, and 35 DATES: July 6-19, 2001 DATA SUPPLIED BY: United States Fish and Wildlife Service Air Crew Strata 30, 31, 32, and 33 Pilot/Observer – Philip P. Thorpe, Flyway Biologist, USFWS Pilot/Observer – Karen S. Bollinger, Flyway Biologist (TR), USFWS Strata 34 and 35 Pilot/Observer - Rod King, Flyway Biologist, USFWS Observer - Herb Bell, Wildlife Biologist, USFWS ABSTRACT: Well-below average precipitation fell across most of the reporting area in June and July. No improvement occurred to upland or wetland habitat conditions in most of the survey area and drought-like conditions existed over a large portion of the unit. Pond indices were down 35%, 33%, and 3% from 2000, the 10-year, and the long-term means, respectively. The overall brood index was up 5% from last year and 17% from the 10-year mean, but remained below the long-term mean (-22%). The late-nesting index was 29%, 1%, and 19% below 2000, the 10-year mean, and the long-term mean, respectively. Overall, poor recruitment is expected out of most of Southern Saskatchewan with fair duck recruitment coming out of the southeast. METHODS: The procedures followed in conducting the July Waterfowl Production and Habitat Survey are described in the Standard Operating Procedures for Aerial Waterfowl Breeding Population and Habitat Surveys in North America, Section IV, revised 1987. There were no changes made this year in operating procedures. Survey coverage was complete and all data are considered comparable to previous years (Table 1). A Cessna 206 and a Cessna 206 equipped with amphibious floats were used to survey strata 30-33 and strata 34-35, respectively. A GPS/voice recording system was used to collect data (Thorpe 2000). During the period 6-19 July, approximately 65 and 17 hours of flight time were required to complete the transect flights in strata 30-33 and 34-35, respectively. While surveying Southern Saskatchewan, both crews were delayed two days due to weather. WEATHER AND HABITAT CONDITIONS: Although June is generally the wettest month in Saskatchewan, this year it was one of the driest. Since the May survey, precipitation amounts continued to be well-below average (40-60% of average) over most of the survey area and record dry conditions persisted in the northwest part of stratum 32 (Agriculture and Agri-food Canada 2001). On the northern and southern edges of the survey area conditions improved to only below-average precipitation amounts (60-80% of average) (Sask Water 2001). The bright spot in July Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan the survey unit is the southeast corner, which had average conditions. During June and July, precipitation fell mainly from isolated thunderstorms. A normal decline in pond numbers from May to July occurred in all strata; however, the decline in strata 30-31 was magnified by an already considerable decline from the previous year. This left many semipermanent wetlands that were low in May; dry in July. The combined pond index was down 35% from July 2000 and 33% from the 10-year mean, but remained about the same as the long-term mean (LTM) (Table 2). According to the July 16 Crop Report (Saskatchewan Agriculture and Food 2001), topsoil, pasture, and hayland was rated as poor over most of the central and northern strata, poor to fair in the south-central and southwest, and fair to good in the southeast. Stations from across the survey area reported that drought-like conditions existed for 50% of the stations in the south, 98% of the stations in the central region, and 76% in the north. Temperatures during June and July were generally 1-2o C below normal. PRODUCTION INDICES: The overall brood index was up slightly from last year and up 17% from the 10-year mean but was down 22% from the LTM (Table 3). The composition of duck broods (n = 590) by age class (Gollup and Marshall 1954) was as follows: Class I, 28.2% (n = 163); Class II, 47.7% (n = 276); Class III, 24.2% (n = 140); unclassified, 1.9% (n = 11). The weighted average brood size among the intact Class II and III broods observed during our survey (n = 316) was 5.5, which is slightly higher than last year (0 = 5.2) and the LTM (0 = 5.2), but about the same as the 10-year mean (0 = 5.4) (Table 3). The coot brood index was 6% below the 2000 index but remained 41% and 26% above the 10-year mean and LTM, respectively (Table 3). The 2001 coot brood index was the 12th highest on record (Appendix 1). LATE-NESTING INDICES: The late-nesting index (LNI) is a rough measure of renesting effort, or potential broods that will hatch after our survey (Henny et al. 1972). This year’s total LNI was 29% below 2000 and 19% below the LTM (Table 3). The dabbling species LNI was down 25% from 2000 and 21% from the LTM. The divers total LNI was down 41% from last year. When the brood index and total LNI are combined (165.6), 2000 ranks 23rd or about average since 1955 (Appendix 1). DISCUSSIONS: Although poor conditions existed throughout most of the Southern Saskatchewan survey area, the brood index and average brood size both showed a slight increase this year (statistically this may not be a significant increase). Significant or not, one would expect that the brood index and average brood size would be down in such a dry year because of poor nesting and brood habitat (i.e., few seasonals and overall lower density of wetlands). The southeast part of the Province had better habitat conditions and contributed to some of the increase (or stabilization) in the index (stratum 34 was up 34% from last year). More surprising were the increases from 2000 in stratum 32 (21%) and 33 (50%). Although the southeast part of stratum 32 did have fair to good habitat conditions, this area comprised only a small portion of the stratum and did not contain a disproportionate number of broods, as one would expect. Rather, the increase in the overall brood index of stratum 32 seemed to result mainly from broods observed in the dry part of the stratum. Stratum 33 generally had poor habitat conditions and few attractive wetland basins; in fact, stratum 33 ponds were down 54% from last July and 44% from this May. Given these circumstances, the increase in the duck brood index may reflect an actual slight increase from last year or it could be caused by survey bias A common bias 2 2 July Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan associated with the July survey occurs when vegetation hides broods in wet years and results in an underestimated brood index because of lower visibility rates by observers. In dry years, with most seasonal wetlands dry, broods are exposed on artificial (dugouts, reservoirs, etc.,) and drawndown semipermanent wetlands and observer visibility rates are higher and result in more broods seen and counted. Further ground comparison studies would be useful to explain some of the biases with the survey or develop useable visibility correction factors. All other indices associated with the survey were lower and reflected the lower quality habitat available to waterfowl this year. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS: Thanks to the Manitoba crew for data collection in strata 34-35. Also, thanks to Dan Nieman, Canadian Wildlife Service, for habitat updates and brood information. Thanks to Karen Bollinger for making comments that improved this report. Submitted by Philip P. Thorpe, July 30, 2001 LITERATURE CITED Agriculture and Agri-food Canada. 2001. Drought Watch on the Prairies. (http://aceis.agr.ca/pfra/drought.htm). Gollup, J. B., and W. H. Marshall. 1954. A guide for aging duck broods in the field. Mississippi Flyway Council Technical Section, Minneapolis, MN. 14pp. Henny, C. J., D. R. Anderson, and R. S. Pospahala. 1972. Aerial surveys of waterfowl production in North America, 1955-1971. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Special Scientific Report 160. Saskatchewan Agriculture and Food. 2001. Crop Report, July 16, 2001. Report Number 16. (http://www.agr.gov.sk.ca/docs/reports/crop_report/crprpt010716.pdf). Sask Water. 2001. Streamflow Forecast and Water Supply Outlook for Saskatchewan, July 1, 2001. River Forecast Centre, Basin Operations, Water Resource and Infrastructure Management Division. Moose Jaw, Saskatchewan. Thorpe, P. P. 2000. Waterfowl Breeding Population Survey for Southern Saskatchewan. Division of Migratory Bird Management, U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service. Denver, Colorado. 3 3 Table 1. Survey design and July 2001 coverage for Southern Saskatchewan. Stratum 30 31 32 33 34 35 Total Survey design: Square miles in stratum 18,570 21,086 37,911 11,345 13,164 9,044 111,120 Square miles in sample- waterfowl/ponds 76.50 72.00 285.75 45.00 87.75 63.00 630.00 Linear miles in sample 612 576 2,286 360 702 504 5,040 Number of transects in sample 4 5 14 6 5 6 40 Number of segments in sample 34 32 127 20 39 28 280 Expansion factor 242.745 292.861 132.672 252.111 150.017 143.556 July 2001 coverage: Square miles in sample- waterfowl/ponds 76.50 72.00 285.75 45.00 87.75 63.00 630.00 Linear miles in sample 612 576 2,286 360 702 504 5,040 Number of transects in sample 4 5 14 6 5 6 40 Number of segments in sample 34 32 127 20 39 28 280 Expansion factor 242.745 292.861 132.672 252.111 150.017 143.556 Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan 4 4 July Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan Table 2. Long-term trend in July pond estimates¹ (thousands) by stratum with comparisons against the previous year, the 10-year mean (1991-2000), the long-term mean (1955-2000), and May 2001 pond estimates ² for Southern Saskatchewan. Stratum Year 30 31 32 33 34 35 Total 1955 138.6 332.1 374.5 120.5 668.5 449.0 2,083.2 1956 120.9 186.8 210.1 34.8 346.5 216.2 1,115.3 1957 59.0 136.8 127.6 18.9 260.8 77.4 680.5 1958 57.0 82.8 69.1 18.4 127.9 46.1 401.3 1959 40.1 95.9 123.0 31.5 155.6 74.1 520.2 1960 47.3 104.0 136.8 16.9 229.7 102.5 637.2 1961 41.0 35.6 51.1 10.3 32.8 22.4 193.2 1962 ³ 29.9 40.0 62.6 12.4 - - 144.8 1963 93.0 97.2 227.8 41.6 177.5 89.4 726.5 1964 33.5 82.5 99.2 13.1 141.9 144.3 514.5 1965 112.4 188.7 289.1 88.7 167.5 69.5 915.9 1966 149.0 320.8 239.9 72.9 164.3 105.2 1,052.1 1967 86.4 136.5 192.6 44.6 101.1 50.2 611.6 1968 66.3 96.2 88.5 15.9 41.1 20.2 328.2 1969 125.4 151.8 357.0 63.0 86.6 159.2 943.1 1970 278.3 365.8 568.2 70.1 219.3 209.6 1,711.4 1971 159.1 277.5 335.9 41.9 171.7 91.6 1,077.7 1972 116.5 189.7 154.8 25.2 108.0 107.4 701.6 1973 153.1 442.7 145.3 21.7 103.5 52.4 918.6 1974 262.5 309.9 455.3 57.5 252.5 175.0 1,512.7 1975 216.7 299.6 391.1 69.1 282.5 281.9 1,540.8 1976 165.1 254.5 414.3 55.2 266.7 211.5 1,367.3 1977 101.6 187.4 183.0 19.9 154.1 72.2 718.1 1978 82.1 177.8 240.1 50.4 165.3 135.7 851.4 1979 159.6 230.8 274.2 46.9 169.2 155.8 1,036.4 1980 77.3 109.8 90.4 21.9 63.0 32.7 395.1 1981 75.7 87.0 96.3 22.9 52.2 29.6 363.7 1982 130.9 197.1 372.5 122.0 86.0 55.4 963.9 1983 134.8 313.9 237.5 44.1 366.3 99.1 1,195.7 1984 126.8 218.8 140.1 21.7 103.4 41.9 652.6 1985 186.2 292.9 173.8 20.9 177.5 55.8 907.1 1986 188.0 218.8 170.0 36.3 171.3 90.0 874.3 1987 126.8 183.3 123.7 27.7 115.1 63.0 639.6 1988 120.4 126.5 94.1 36.6 41.3 23.4 442.2 1989 101.2 108.4 129.6 36.3 51.6 31.9 459.0 1990 101.2 135.0 135.5 21.7 96.3 48.8 538.5 1991 187.4 210.6 722.3 165.6 228.5 177.1 1,691.5 1992 87.6 101.6 132.5 24.5 135.5 77.4 559.1 1993 237.9 271.5 301.0 47.6 281.1 136.8 1,276.0 1994 248.8 314.5 501.6 74.1 256.5 110.4 1,506.0 1995 122.1 252.7 237.6 77.9 261.8 115.4 1,067.6 1996 227.2 306.0 464.4 82.4 380.1 206.4 1,666.6 1997 158.8 271.8 430.8 86.0 310.4 169.8 1,427.5 1998 158.0 325.7 311.9 73.4 476.2 320.0 1,665.2 1999 201.2 405.6 684.6 47.4 205.5 149.4 1,697.1 2000 124.1 201.5 299.9 52.1 446.5 313.8 1,437.9 2001 70.6 103.4 160.4 23.7 319.5 263.3 940.9 10-year mean 175.3 266.2 408.7 73.1 298.2 177.7 1399.1 Long-term mean 133.0 209.7 257.7 48.7 197.8 121.5 968.5 Percent Change from: 2000 -43% -49% -47% -54% -28% -16% -35% 10-year mean -60% -61% -61% -68% 7% 48% -33% long-term mean -47% -51% -38% -51% 62% 117% -3% May ponds 2001 139.7 202.4 378.9 42.0 480.1 292.8 1535.9 Percent change: May to July 2001 -49% -49% -58% -44% -33% -10% -39% ¹ July ponds are raw counts multiplied by an expansion factor (Table 1) and are not adjusted for visibility bias. 2 May ponds are raw counts multiplied by an expansion factor (Table 1) and are adjusted using a visibility correction factor of 1.13 for strata 30-33 and 0.70 for strata 34-35. ³ Incomplete coverage, not included in long-term mean calculation. 5 5 Table 3. Status of waterfowl brood and late-nesting indices (thousands, unadjusted for visibility bias) by stratum with comparisons against the previous year , the 10-year mean (1990-2000) 1, and the long-term mean (1955-2000) 2 for Southern Saskatchewan, July 2001. Percent Change from: Stratum 2001 2000 10-year Long-term 10-year Long-term Species 30 31 32 33 34 35 total total mean mean 2000 mean mean Broods: Duck brood index 12.9 12.9 28.5 2.0 30.9 9.2 96.4 91.5 82.5 124.2 5% 17% -22% Average brood size 3 5.5 5.1 5.5 4.3 6.7 5.9 5.5 5.2 5.4 5.2 5% 2% 6% Coot brood index 5.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 21.9 6.5 34.9 37.3 24.8 27.7 -6% 41% 26% Late nesting index: 4 Dabblers: Mallard 2.4 4.1 7.6 1.5 5.3 4.3 25.2 33.2 21.7 27.6 -24% 16% -9% Am. Black duck 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0% 0% 0% Gadwall 0.0 0.9 1.9 0.5 0.8 1.4 5.4 9.1 9.2 9.4 -40% -41% -42% Am. wigeon 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.9 0.7 2.9 2.5 2.9 4.6 16% 0% -36% Green-winged teal 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 3.3 5.9 3.8 3.0 -44% -13% 9% Blue-winged teal 5 s: 0.5 0.9 2.7 0.0 2.7 1.6 8.3 11.5 11.2 12.2 -28% -26% -32% N. shoveler 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.8 0.6 2.5 3.8 2.6 3.7 -34% -3% -33% N. Pintail 0.7 1.2 3.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 5.5 4.6 3.2 7.0 20% 72% -21% Subtotal: iver 4.9 8.5 16.8 2.5 8.0 8.5 53.1 70.6 54.6 67.4 -25% -3% -21% D Redhead 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.3 -15% -35% -51% Canvasback 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.8 1.3 -89% -80% -88% Scaups 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.8 0.1 4.4 4.2 2.7 6.5 3% 64% -33% Ring-necked duck 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.1 1.6 2.9 0.9 0.8 -46% 67% 102% Goldeneyes 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.4 0.2 0% 225% 548% Bufflehead 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.5 0.6 -79% 1% -4% Ruddy duck 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.0 2.7 1.7 6.1 13.6 7.6 6.3 -55% -20% -4% Subtotal: 1.2 3.8 2.5 0.5 2.3 1.3 15.3 25.9 14.7 17.9 -41% 4% -15% Miscellaneous: Oldsquaw 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0% 0% 0% Eiders 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0% 0% 0% Scoters 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0% -100% -100% Mergansers 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 51% 345% 902% Subtotal 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.3 51% 248% 163% Total ducks 6.6 12.6 19.4 3.0 10.2 9.8 69.2 97.1 69.6 85.7 -29% -1% -19% 1 Excludes 1999, data in strata 34-35 was not collected using correct survey methodology. 2 Based on 44 years. Excludes 1962, which had incomplete coverage, and 1999 because of incorrect data collection in strata 34-35. 3 Calculated using only Class II and III broods observed and assumed to be complete. 4 Only observed adult pairs and singles used. 5 Includes cinnamon teal. Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan 6 6 Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan Appendix 1. Long-term trend in waterfowl brood and late-nesting indices (thousands, unadjusted for visibility bias) by species in Southern Saskatchewan, 1955-2001. Species/Year 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 Broods: Duck brood index us: 236.2 368.6 588.7 275.5 103.8 121.0 71.9 28.5 46.2 67.8 46.8 95.9 94.6 77.8 175.0 128.7 180.2 170.2 96.7 148.3 Average brood size 2 6.7 6.0 6.2 4.2 4.1 4.7 4.6 5.5 5.4 5.8 6.0 5.8 5.4 5.0 5.6 5.3 5.2 5.2 4.7 5.0 Coot brood index 18.9 65.0 208.0 21.6 5.9 15.1 5.8 0.0 1.9 9.0 6.8 8.0 11.6 11.9 20.7 22.4 35.6 25.6 21.4 40.6 Late nesting index: 3 Dabblers: Mallard 90.4 52.3 27.1 49.7 23.6 40.8 5.7 5.9 15.4 10.9 29.8 25.8 14.8 12.4 30.5 65.4 37.0 25.6 33.1 37.2 Am. Black duck 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gadwall 11.9 9.2 2.1 4.4 1.3 9.7 0.3 1.3 5.8 2.2 13.1 9.5 8.9 4.8 18.9 23.0 10.8 6.2 9.2 16.6 Am. wigeon 10.5 8.9 2.7 7.6 4.4 5.9 0.3 1.3 2.0 0.1 5.5 3.7 4.0 2.1 11.5 24.2 9.0 6.2 5.4 4.4 Green-winged teal 3.0 2.5 0.4 1.4 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 1.6 1.7 1.9 3.2 2.9 11.8 7.4 5.2 4.8 1.0 Blue-winged teal 4 35.3 30.6 6.1 18.5 18.4 12.7 1.0 0.7 5.2 3.8 11.4 13.9 14.3 4.3 14.6 17.5 15.4 9.2 7.7 14.0 N. shoveler 10.6 7.2 1.4 3.8 1.2 3.9 0.4 0.3 1.7 1.1 6.7 2.7 3.6 1.4 6.9 13.2 6.1 1.8 3.8 6.2 N. Pintail 23.9 11.1 3.8 8.6 1.1 3.6 0.8 2.3 4.3 0.8 4.7 6.3 5.4 3.2 19.0 41.1 24.0 8.0 5.0 11.9 Subtotal:e rs: 185.6 121.7 43.6 93.9 50.3 77.1 8.4 11.8 35.0 19.0 72.8 63.7 52.9 31.3 104.4 196.3 109.8 62.3 69.1 91.2 Div Redhead 4.2 5.5 0.9 2.4 0.4 1.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 2.3 2.1 2.8 1.5 2.1 3.5 1.9 2.6 2.1 2.7 Canvasback 5.6 2.6 0.5 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.5 3.9 2.2 1.1 2.7 1.7 Scaups 18.4 11.9 12.3 10.2 3.9 5.2 0.8 0.3 1.9 4.0 2.3 5.1 1.7 1.4 6.8 13.7 8.3 7.4 6.4 6.6 Ring-necked duck 2.4 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 Goldeneyes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 Bufflehead 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 0.6 0.5 2.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.7 Ruddy duck 10.8 9.5 3.0 5.3 3.0 3.9 0.1 0.4 2.7 1.7 2.7 6.3 5.4 3.7 3.5 3.4 12.3 6.7 5.6 10.5 Subtotal: 42.3 29.7 16.8 20.6 9.4 12.0 1.7 0.9 7.2 7.2 9.0 15.6 12.0 8.5 15.1 27.1 25.1 18.3 18.4 24.1 Miscellaneo Oldsquaw 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Eiders 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Scoters 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 Mergansers 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Subtotal 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 Total ducks 229.6 151.7 60.4 114.7 60.2 89.8 10.0 12.7 43.1 26.3 81.9 79.3 64.9 39.9 119.9 223.4 134.9 80.6 87.8 115.4 1 Incomplete survey coverage. 2 Calculated using only Class II and III broods observed and assumed to be complete. 3 Only observed adult pairs and singles used. 4 Includes cinnamon teal. 7 7 Appendix 1 (continued). Species/Year 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Broods: : us: Duck brood index 148.2 169.0 144.6 130.0 107.2 130.6 77.9 63.3 69.5 70.6 94.9 100.9 105.4 74.3 58.4 68.3 58.5 63.2 19.2 87.8 Average brood size2 4.7 4.5 5.2 4.7 5.3 4.6 4.3 4.8 4.5 4.7 5.3 5.7 5.2 4.6 4.7 4.3 5.4 5.1 4.8 6.2 Coot brood index 45.0 46.0 24.8 28.3 34.0 34.2 12.5 15.6 21.6 34.9 54.3 32.9 11.6 6.4 18.9 7.2 29.5 3.8 12.5 Late nesting index3 Dabblers: Mallard 45.7 40.3 36.1 26.4 51.9 14.2 15.4 34.6 32.1 16.2 20.7 13.3 7.9 5.4 8.9 10.7 23.7 19.6 13.7 19.5 Am. Black duck 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gadwall 17.6 25.3 20.3 15.6 19.2 4.3 7.2 17.1 8.6 1.1 6.5 6.0 1.3 0.1 1.8 3.4 16.5 10.5 6.3 4.5 Am. wigeon 7.0 6.8 4.9 4.5 8.9 1.0 2.4 6.3 2.8 1.4 2.2 1.7 0.3 1.5 0.8 0.9 5.9 3.7 3.4 2.7 Green-winged teal 4.8 7.4 2.6 2.9 6.9 2.1 2.7 3.1 3.8 1.5 1.8 2.8 0.3 0.8 0.5 1.2 3.0 0.7 0.5 1.9 Blue-winged teal 4 12.1 21.4 22.4 9.3 21.6 8.7 8.9 13.4 14.4 12.2 7.5 9.8 1.6 4.6 2.2 3.3 13.0 6.8 6.6 6.3 N. shoveler 9.4 14.9 4.8 3.0 5.7 1.2 2.7 4.8 4.4 0.1 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.1 4.5 1.6 1.1 1.6 N. Pintail 15.2 15.3 13.8 8.1 9.1 4.4 4.1 4.3 4.8 2.7 3.4 1.4 0.7 1.5 0.4 0.8 3.0 3.0 1.3 2.4 Subtotal:e rs: 111.8 131.4 104.8 69.7 123.4 35.9 43.5 83.7 70.8 35.3 43.7 35.9 12.2 14.5 14.6 21.3 69.6 45.9 33.1 38.9 Div Redhead 7.1 8.1 4.4 2.9 5.5 3.2 1.5 2.7 3.7 0.6 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7 1.4 3.1 0.5 1.3 Canvasback 2.2 2.8 5.7 1.6 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 1.1 0.3 Scaups 10.1 12.4 13.7 11.2 24.6 3.7 5.1 12.4 13.7 8.7 6.5 3.1 2.2 0.6 1.4 1.8 1.5 3.9 1.9 1.8 Ring-necked duck 1.1 1.9 1.2 1.6 3.1 0.8 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.5 Goldeneyes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.6 0.3 Bufflehead 1.6 1.8 1.7 0.7 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.3 Ruddy duck 10.6 16.0 9.9 5.4 13.0 2.5 2.7 5.2 13.9 3.5 7.0 6.9 2.3 1.5 1.9 1.4 6.4 7.4 4.2 5.2 Subtotal: 32.7 42.9 36.6 23.6 50.8 11.6 10.4 22.2 35.1 13.8 17.5 11.9 6.2 3.6 3.3 4.9 10.0 17.4 9.5 9.7 Miscellaneo Oldsquaw 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Eiders 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Scoters 1.1 0.0 0.8 1.4 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 Mergansers 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 Subtotal 1.1 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.7 1.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 Total ducks 145.6 174.2 142.3 94.9 174.9 48.6 53.9 106.0 105.9 49.1 61.2 47.9 18.6 18.1 17.9 26.6 79.5 63.3 42.8 48.8 1 Incomplete survey coverage. 2 Calculated using only Class II and III broods observed and assumed to be complete. 3 Only observed adult pairs and singles used. 4 Includes cinnamon teal. Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan 14.8 8 8 Appendix 1 (continued). Species/Year 1995 1996 1997 1998 19995 2000 2001 Broods: : Duck brood index 78.9 129.3 161.3 67.3 82.3 91.5 96.4 Average brood size2 5.6 5.9 5.6 5.5 6.6 5.4 6.3 Coot brood index 6.7 63.5 48.5 19.8 41.5 37.3 34.9 Late nesting index3 Dabblers: Mallard 11.8 34.0 23.8 26.6 106.8 33.2 25.2 Am. Black duck 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gadwall 7.5 17.7 5.5 11.1 36.8 9.1 5.4 Am. Wigeon 2.1 4.6 1.7 1.9 3.6 2.5 2.9 Green-winged teal 1.3 10.1 4.2 9.1 16.5 5.9 3.3 Blue-winged teal 4 7.6 31.9 10.2 15.0 37.0 11.5 8.3 N. shoveler 2.4 5.7 1.8 2.4 11.7 3.8 2.5 N. Pintail 3.0 3.8 5.9 4.3 6.6 4.6 5.5 Subtotal: 35.7 107.9 53.0 70.4 219.0 70.6 53.1 Divers: Redhead 1.5 3.1 1.8 2.7 10.4 1.3 1.1 Canvasback 0.9 0.5 1.3 0.7 0.9 1.3 0.2 Scaups 2.3 4.4 2.0 2.8 7.2 4.2 4.4 Ring-necked duck 1.3 2.1 0.2 0.2 3.8 2.9 1.6 Goldeneyes 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.4 Bufflehead 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.0 2.5 0.5 Ruddy duck 7.1 13.6 9.4 8.0 31.6 13.6 6.1 Subtotal: 13.1 24.8 15.7 15.1 54.2 25.9 15.3 Miscellaneous: Oldsquaw 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Eiders 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Scoters 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Mergansers 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 Subtotal 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.8 Total ducks 48.8 133.0 69.0 86.0 273.6 97.1 69.2 1 Incomplete survey coverage. 2 Calculated using only Class II and III broods observed and assumed to be complete. 3 Only observed adult pairs and singles used. 4 Includes cinnamon teal. 5 Late nesting data for strata 34 and 35 was not collected according to survey methodology, 1999 data are not used in averages or comparisons. Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan 9 9
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Title | Waterfowl production and habitat survey for southern Saskatchewan |
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Transcript | U.S. Department of the Interior Fish and Wildlife Service and Environment Canada Canadian Wildlife Service ALBERTA SASKATCHEWAN MANITOBA MONTANA NORTH DAKOTA SOUTH DAKOTA NORTH BATTLEFORD SASKATOON PRINCE ALBERT WYNYARD KINDERSLEY SWIFT CURRENT MOOSE JAW YORKTON REGINA BROADVIEW ESTEVAN 2001 WATERFOWL P RODUCTION S URVEY SOUTHERN S ASKATCHEWAN 31 30 33 32 34 35 TITLE: Waterfowl Production and Habitat Survey for Southern Saskatchewan STRATA SURVEYED: 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, and 35 DATES: July 6-19, 2001 DATA SUPPLIED BY: United States Fish and Wildlife Service Air Crew Strata 30, 31, 32, and 33 Pilot/Observer – Philip P. Thorpe, Flyway Biologist, USFWS Pilot/Observer – Karen S. Bollinger, Flyway Biologist (TR), USFWS Strata 34 and 35 Pilot/Observer - Rod King, Flyway Biologist, USFWS Observer - Herb Bell, Wildlife Biologist, USFWS ABSTRACT: Well-below average precipitation fell across most of the reporting area in June and July. No improvement occurred to upland or wetland habitat conditions in most of the survey area and drought-like conditions existed over a large portion of the unit. Pond indices were down 35%, 33%, and 3% from 2000, the 10-year, and the long-term means, respectively. The overall brood index was up 5% from last year and 17% from the 10-year mean, but remained below the long-term mean (-22%). The late-nesting index was 29%, 1%, and 19% below 2000, the 10-year mean, and the long-term mean, respectively. Overall, poor recruitment is expected out of most of Southern Saskatchewan with fair duck recruitment coming out of the southeast. METHODS: The procedures followed in conducting the July Waterfowl Production and Habitat Survey are described in the Standard Operating Procedures for Aerial Waterfowl Breeding Population and Habitat Surveys in North America, Section IV, revised 1987. There were no changes made this year in operating procedures. Survey coverage was complete and all data are considered comparable to previous years (Table 1). A Cessna 206 and a Cessna 206 equipped with amphibious floats were used to survey strata 30-33 and strata 34-35, respectively. A GPS/voice recording system was used to collect data (Thorpe 2000). During the period 6-19 July, approximately 65 and 17 hours of flight time were required to complete the transect flights in strata 30-33 and 34-35, respectively. While surveying Southern Saskatchewan, both crews were delayed two days due to weather. WEATHER AND HABITAT CONDITIONS: Although June is generally the wettest month in Saskatchewan, this year it was one of the driest. Since the May survey, precipitation amounts continued to be well-below average (40-60% of average) over most of the survey area and record dry conditions persisted in the northwest part of stratum 32 (Agriculture and Agri-food Canada 2001). On the northern and southern edges of the survey area conditions improved to only below-average precipitation amounts (60-80% of average) (Sask Water 2001). The bright spot in July Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan the survey unit is the southeast corner, which had average conditions. During June and July, precipitation fell mainly from isolated thunderstorms. A normal decline in pond numbers from May to July occurred in all strata; however, the decline in strata 30-31 was magnified by an already considerable decline from the previous year. This left many semipermanent wetlands that were low in May; dry in July. The combined pond index was down 35% from July 2000 and 33% from the 10-year mean, but remained about the same as the long-term mean (LTM) (Table 2). According to the July 16 Crop Report (Saskatchewan Agriculture and Food 2001), topsoil, pasture, and hayland was rated as poor over most of the central and northern strata, poor to fair in the south-central and southwest, and fair to good in the southeast. Stations from across the survey area reported that drought-like conditions existed for 50% of the stations in the south, 98% of the stations in the central region, and 76% in the north. Temperatures during June and July were generally 1-2o C below normal. PRODUCTION INDICES: The overall brood index was up slightly from last year and up 17% from the 10-year mean but was down 22% from the LTM (Table 3). The composition of duck broods (n = 590) by age class (Gollup and Marshall 1954) was as follows: Class I, 28.2% (n = 163); Class II, 47.7% (n = 276); Class III, 24.2% (n = 140); unclassified, 1.9% (n = 11). The weighted average brood size among the intact Class II and III broods observed during our survey (n = 316) was 5.5, which is slightly higher than last year (0 = 5.2) and the LTM (0 = 5.2), but about the same as the 10-year mean (0 = 5.4) (Table 3). The coot brood index was 6% below the 2000 index but remained 41% and 26% above the 10-year mean and LTM, respectively (Table 3). The 2001 coot brood index was the 12th highest on record (Appendix 1). LATE-NESTING INDICES: The late-nesting index (LNI) is a rough measure of renesting effort, or potential broods that will hatch after our survey (Henny et al. 1972). This year’s total LNI was 29% below 2000 and 19% below the LTM (Table 3). The dabbling species LNI was down 25% from 2000 and 21% from the LTM. The divers total LNI was down 41% from last year. When the brood index and total LNI are combined (165.6), 2000 ranks 23rd or about average since 1955 (Appendix 1). DISCUSSIONS: Although poor conditions existed throughout most of the Southern Saskatchewan survey area, the brood index and average brood size both showed a slight increase this year (statistically this may not be a significant increase). Significant or not, one would expect that the brood index and average brood size would be down in such a dry year because of poor nesting and brood habitat (i.e., few seasonals and overall lower density of wetlands). The southeast part of the Province had better habitat conditions and contributed to some of the increase (or stabilization) in the index (stratum 34 was up 34% from last year). More surprising were the increases from 2000 in stratum 32 (21%) and 33 (50%). Although the southeast part of stratum 32 did have fair to good habitat conditions, this area comprised only a small portion of the stratum and did not contain a disproportionate number of broods, as one would expect. Rather, the increase in the overall brood index of stratum 32 seemed to result mainly from broods observed in the dry part of the stratum. Stratum 33 generally had poor habitat conditions and few attractive wetland basins; in fact, stratum 33 ponds were down 54% from last July and 44% from this May. Given these circumstances, the increase in the duck brood index may reflect an actual slight increase from last year or it could be caused by survey bias A common bias 2 2 July Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan associated with the July survey occurs when vegetation hides broods in wet years and results in an underestimated brood index because of lower visibility rates by observers. In dry years, with most seasonal wetlands dry, broods are exposed on artificial (dugouts, reservoirs, etc.,) and drawndown semipermanent wetlands and observer visibility rates are higher and result in more broods seen and counted. Further ground comparison studies would be useful to explain some of the biases with the survey or develop useable visibility correction factors. All other indices associated with the survey were lower and reflected the lower quality habitat available to waterfowl this year. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS: Thanks to the Manitoba crew for data collection in strata 34-35. Also, thanks to Dan Nieman, Canadian Wildlife Service, for habitat updates and brood information. Thanks to Karen Bollinger for making comments that improved this report. Submitted by Philip P. Thorpe, July 30, 2001 LITERATURE CITED Agriculture and Agri-food Canada. 2001. Drought Watch on the Prairies. (http://aceis.agr.ca/pfra/drought.htm). Gollup, J. B., and W. H. Marshall. 1954. A guide for aging duck broods in the field. Mississippi Flyway Council Technical Section, Minneapolis, MN. 14pp. Henny, C. J., D. R. Anderson, and R. S. Pospahala. 1972. Aerial surveys of waterfowl production in North America, 1955-1971. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Special Scientific Report 160. Saskatchewan Agriculture and Food. 2001. Crop Report, July 16, 2001. Report Number 16. (http://www.agr.gov.sk.ca/docs/reports/crop_report/crprpt010716.pdf). Sask Water. 2001. Streamflow Forecast and Water Supply Outlook for Saskatchewan, July 1, 2001. River Forecast Centre, Basin Operations, Water Resource and Infrastructure Management Division. Moose Jaw, Saskatchewan. Thorpe, P. P. 2000. Waterfowl Breeding Population Survey for Southern Saskatchewan. Division of Migratory Bird Management, U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service. Denver, Colorado. 3 3 Table 1. Survey design and July 2001 coverage for Southern Saskatchewan. Stratum 30 31 32 33 34 35 Total Survey design: Square miles in stratum 18,570 21,086 37,911 11,345 13,164 9,044 111,120 Square miles in sample- waterfowl/ponds 76.50 72.00 285.75 45.00 87.75 63.00 630.00 Linear miles in sample 612 576 2,286 360 702 504 5,040 Number of transects in sample 4 5 14 6 5 6 40 Number of segments in sample 34 32 127 20 39 28 280 Expansion factor 242.745 292.861 132.672 252.111 150.017 143.556 July 2001 coverage: Square miles in sample- waterfowl/ponds 76.50 72.00 285.75 45.00 87.75 63.00 630.00 Linear miles in sample 612 576 2,286 360 702 504 5,040 Number of transects in sample 4 5 14 6 5 6 40 Number of segments in sample 34 32 127 20 39 28 280 Expansion factor 242.745 292.861 132.672 252.111 150.017 143.556 Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan 4 4 July Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan Table 2. Long-term trend in July pond estimates¹ (thousands) by stratum with comparisons against the previous year, the 10-year mean (1991-2000), the long-term mean (1955-2000), and May 2001 pond estimates ² for Southern Saskatchewan. Stratum Year 30 31 32 33 34 35 Total 1955 138.6 332.1 374.5 120.5 668.5 449.0 2,083.2 1956 120.9 186.8 210.1 34.8 346.5 216.2 1,115.3 1957 59.0 136.8 127.6 18.9 260.8 77.4 680.5 1958 57.0 82.8 69.1 18.4 127.9 46.1 401.3 1959 40.1 95.9 123.0 31.5 155.6 74.1 520.2 1960 47.3 104.0 136.8 16.9 229.7 102.5 637.2 1961 41.0 35.6 51.1 10.3 32.8 22.4 193.2 1962 ³ 29.9 40.0 62.6 12.4 - - 144.8 1963 93.0 97.2 227.8 41.6 177.5 89.4 726.5 1964 33.5 82.5 99.2 13.1 141.9 144.3 514.5 1965 112.4 188.7 289.1 88.7 167.5 69.5 915.9 1966 149.0 320.8 239.9 72.9 164.3 105.2 1,052.1 1967 86.4 136.5 192.6 44.6 101.1 50.2 611.6 1968 66.3 96.2 88.5 15.9 41.1 20.2 328.2 1969 125.4 151.8 357.0 63.0 86.6 159.2 943.1 1970 278.3 365.8 568.2 70.1 219.3 209.6 1,711.4 1971 159.1 277.5 335.9 41.9 171.7 91.6 1,077.7 1972 116.5 189.7 154.8 25.2 108.0 107.4 701.6 1973 153.1 442.7 145.3 21.7 103.5 52.4 918.6 1974 262.5 309.9 455.3 57.5 252.5 175.0 1,512.7 1975 216.7 299.6 391.1 69.1 282.5 281.9 1,540.8 1976 165.1 254.5 414.3 55.2 266.7 211.5 1,367.3 1977 101.6 187.4 183.0 19.9 154.1 72.2 718.1 1978 82.1 177.8 240.1 50.4 165.3 135.7 851.4 1979 159.6 230.8 274.2 46.9 169.2 155.8 1,036.4 1980 77.3 109.8 90.4 21.9 63.0 32.7 395.1 1981 75.7 87.0 96.3 22.9 52.2 29.6 363.7 1982 130.9 197.1 372.5 122.0 86.0 55.4 963.9 1983 134.8 313.9 237.5 44.1 366.3 99.1 1,195.7 1984 126.8 218.8 140.1 21.7 103.4 41.9 652.6 1985 186.2 292.9 173.8 20.9 177.5 55.8 907.1 1986 188.0 218.8 170.0 36.3 171.3 90.0 874.3 1987 126.8 183.3 123.7 27.7 115.1 63.0 639.6 1988 120.4 126.5 94.1 36.6 41.3 23.4 442.2 1989 101.2 108.4 129.6 36.3 51.6 31.9 459.0 1990 101.2 135.0 135.5 21.7 96.3 48.8 538.5 1991 187.4 210.6 722.3 165.6 228.5 177.1 1,691.5 1992 87.6 101.6 132.5 24.5 135.5 77.4 559.1 1993 237.9 271.5 301.0 47.6 281.1 136.8 1,276.0 1994 248.8 314.5 501.6 74.1 256.5 110.4 1,506.0 1995 122.1 252.7 237.6 77.9 261.8 115.4 1,067.6 1996 227.2 306.0 464.4 82.4 380.1 206.4 1,666.6 1997 158.8 271.8 430.8 86.0 310.4 169.8 1,427.5 1998 158.0 325.7 311.9 73.4 476.2 320.0 1,665.2 1999 201.2 405.6 684.6 47.4 205.5 149.4 1,697.1 2000 124.1 201.5 299.9 52.1 446.5 313.8 1,437.9 2001 70.6 103.4 160.4 23.7 319.5 263.3 940.9 10-year mean 175.3 266.2 408.7 73.1 298.2 177.7 1399.1 Long-term mean 133.0 209.7 257.7 48.7 197.8 121.5 968.5 Percent Change from: 2000 -43% -49% -47% -54% -28% -16% -35% 10-year mean -60% -61% -61% -68% 7% 48% -33% long-term mean -47% -51% -38% -51% 62% 117% -3% May ponds 2001 139.7 202.4 378.9 42.0 480.1 292.8 1535.9 Percent change: May to July 2001 -49% -49% -58% -44% -33% -10% -39% ¹ July ponds are raw counts multiplied by an expansion factor (Table 1) and are not adjusted for visibility bias. 2 May ponds are raw counts multiplied by an expansion factor (Table 1) and are adjusted using a visibility correction factor of 1.13 for strata 30-33 and 0.70 for strata 34-35. ³ Incomplete coverage, not included in long-term mean calculation. 5 5 Table 3. Status of waterfowl brood and late-nesting indices (thousands, unadjusted for visibility bias) by stratum with comparisons against the previous year , the 10-year mean (1990-2000) 1, and the long-term mean (1955-2000) 2 for Southern Saskatchewan, July 2001. Percent Change from: Stratum 2001 2000 10-year Long-term 10-year Long-term Species 30 31 32 33 34 35 total total mean mean 2000 mean mean Broods: Duck brood index 12.9 12.9 28.5 2.0 30.9 9.2 96.4 91.5 82.5 124.2 5% 17% -22% Average brood size 3 5.5 5.1 5.5 4.3 6.7 5.9 5.5 5.2 5.4 5.2 5% 2% 6% Coot brood index 5.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 21.9 6.5 34.9 37.3 24.8 27.7 -6% 41% 26% Late nesting index: 4 Dabblers: Mallard 2.4 4.1 7.6 1.5 5.3 4.3 25.2 33.2 21.7 27.6 -24% 16% -9% Am. Black duck 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0% 0% 0% Gadwall 0.0 0.9 1.9 0.5 0.8 1.4 5.4 9.1 9.2 9.4 -40% -41% -42% Am. wigeon 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.9 0.7 2.9 2.5 2.9 4.6 16% 0% -36% Green-winged teal 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 3.3 5.9 3.8 3.0 -44% -13% 9% Blue-winged teal 5 s: 0.5 0.9 2.7 0.0 2.7 1.6 8.3 11.5 11.2 12.2 -28% -26% -32% N. shoveler 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.8 0.6 2.5 3.8 2.6 3.7 -34% -3% -33% N. Pintail 0.7 1.2 3.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 5.5 4.6 3.2 7.0 20% 72% -21% Subtotal: iver 4.9 8.5 16.8 2.5 8.0 8.5 53.1 70.6 54.6 67.4 -25% -3% -21% D Redhead 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.3 -15% -35% -51% Canvasback 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.8 1.3 -89% -80% -88% Scaups 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.8 0.1 4.4 4.2 2.7 6.5 3% 64% -33% Ring-necked duck 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.1 1.6 2.9 0.9 0.8 -46% 67% 102% Goldeneyes 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.4 0.2 0% 225% 548% Bufflehead 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.5 0.6 -79% 1% -4% Ruddy duck 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.0 2.7 1.7 6.1 13.6 7.6 6.3 -55% -20% -4% Subtotal: 1.2 3.8 2.5 0.5 2.3 1.3 15.3 25.9 14.7 17.9 -41% 4% -15% Miscellaneous: Oldsquaw 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0% 0% 0% Eiders 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0% 0% 0% Scoters 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0% -100% -100% Mergansers 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 51% 345% 902% Subtotal 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.3 51% 248% 163% Total ducks 6.6 12.6 19.4 3.0 10.2 9.8 69.2 97.1 69.6 85.7 -29% -1% -19% 1 Excludes 1999, data in strata 34-35 was not collected using correct survey methodology. 2 Based on 44 years. Excludes 1962, which had incomplete coverage, and 1999 because of incorrect data collection in strata 34-35. 3 Calculated using only Class II and III broods observed and assumed to be complete. 4 Only observed adult pairs and singles used. 5 Includes cinnamon teal. Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan 6 6 Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan Appendix 1. Long-term trend in waterfowl brood and late-nesting indices (thousands, unadjusted for visibility bias) by species in Southern Saskatchewan, 1955-2001. Species/Year 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 Broods: Duck brood index us: 236.2 368.6 588.7 275.5 103.8 121.0 71.9 28.5 46.2 67.8 46.8 95.9 94.6 77.8 175.0 128.7 180.2 170.2 96.7 148.3 Average brood size 2 6.7 6.0 6.2 4.2 4.1 4.7 4.6 5.5 5.4 5.8 6.0 5.8 5.4 5.0 5.6 5.3 5.2 5.2 4.7 5.0 Coot brood index 18.9 65.0 208.0 21.6 5.9 15.1 5.8 0.0 1.9 9.0 6.8 8.0 11.6 11.9 20.7 22.4 35.6 25.6 21.4 40.6 Late nesting index: 3 Dabblers: Mallard 90.4 52.3 27.1 49.7 23.6 40.8 5.7 5.9 15.4 10.9 29.8 25.8 14.8 12.4 30.5 65.4 37.0 25.6 33.1 37.2 Am. Black duck 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gadwall 11.9 9.2 2.1 4.4 1.3 9.7 0.3 1.3 5.8 2.2 13.1 9.5 8.9 4.8 18.9 23.0 10.8 6.2 9.2 16.6 Am. wigeon 10.5 8.9 2.7 7.6 4.4 5.9 0.3 1.3 2.0 0.1 5.5 3.7 4.0 2.1 11.5 24.2 9.0 6.2 5.4 4.4 Green-winged teal 3.0 2.5 0.4 1.4 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 1.6 1.7 1.9 3.2 2.9 11.8 7.4 5.2 4.8 1.0 Blue-winged teal 4 35.3 30.6 6.1 18.5 18.4 12.7 1.0 0.7 5.2 3.8 11.4 13.9 14.3 4.3 14.6 17.5 15.4 9.2 7.7 14.0 N. shoveler 10.6 7.2 1.4 3.8 1.2 3.9 0.4 0.3 1.7 1.1 6.7 2.7 3.6 1.4 6.9 13.2 6.1 1.8 3.8 6.2 N. Pintail 23.9 11.1 3.8 8.6 1.1 3.6 0.8 2.3 4.3 0.8 4.7 6.3 5.4 3.2 19.0 41.1 24.0 8.0 5.0 11.9 Subtotal:e rs: 185.6 121.7 43.6 93.9 50.3 77.1 8.4 11.8 35.0 19.0 72.8 63.7 52.9 31.3 104.4 196.3 109.8 62.3 69.1 91.2 Div Redhead 4.2 5.5 0.9 2.4 0.4 1.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 2.3 2.1 2.8 1.5 2.1 3.5 1.9 2.6 2.1 2.7 Canvasback 5.6 2.6 0.5 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.5 3.9 2.2 1.1 2.7 1.7 Scaups 18.4 11.9 12.3 10.2 3.9 5.2 0.8 0.3 1.9 4.0 2.3 5.1 1.7 1.4 6.8 13.7 8.3 7.4 6.4 6.6 Ring-necked duck 2.4 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 Goldeneyes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 Bufflehead 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 0.6 0.5 2.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.7 Ruddy duck 10.8 9.5 3.0 5.3 3.0 3.9 0.1 0.4 2.7 1.7 2.7 6.3 5.4 3.7 3.5 3.4 12.3 6.7 5.6 10.5 Subtotal: 42.3 29.7 16.8 20.6 9.4 12.0 1.7 0.9 7.2 7.2 9.0 15.6 12.0 8.5 15.1 27.1 25.1 18.3 18.4 24.1 Miscellaneo Oldsquaw 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Eiders 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Scoters 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 Mergansers 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Subtotal 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 Total ducks 229.6 151.7 60.4 114.7 60.2 89.8 10.0 12.7 43.1 26.3 81.9 79.3 64.9 39.9 119.9 223.4 134.9 80.6 87.8 115.4 1 Incomplete survey coverage. 2 Calculated using only Class II and III broods observed and assumed to be complete. 3 Only observed adult pairs and singles used. 4 Includes cinnamon teal. 7 7 Appendix 1 (continued). Species/Year 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Broods: : us: Duck brood index 148.2 169.0 144.6 130.0 107.2 130.6 77.9 63.3 69.5 70.6 94.9 100.9 105.4 74.3 58.4 68.3 58.5 63.2 19.2 87.8 Average brood size2 4.7 4.5 5.2 4.7 5.3 4.6 4.3 4.8 4.5 4.7 5.3 5.7 5.2 4.6 4.7 4.3 5.4 5.1 4.8 6.2 Coot brood index 45.0 46.0 24.8 28.3 34.0 34.2 12.5 15.6 21.6 34.9 54.3 32.9 11.6 6.4 18.9 7.2 29.5 3.8 12.5 Late nesting index3 Dabblers: Mallard 45.7 40.3 36.1 26.4 51.9 14.2 15.4 34.6 32.1 16.2 20.7 13.3 7.9 5.4 8.9 10.7 23.7 19.6 13.7 19.5 Am. Black duck 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gadwall 17.6 25.3 20.3 15.6 19.2 4.3 7.2 17.1 8.6 1.1 6.5 6.0 1.3 0.1 1.8 3.4 16.5 10.5 6.3 4.5 Am. wigeon 7.0 6.8 4.9 4.5 8.9 1.0 2.4 6.3 2.8 1.4 2.2 1.7 0.3 1.5 0.8 0.9 5.9 3.7 3.4 2.7 Green-winged teal 4.8 7.4 2.6 2.9 6.9 2.1 2.7 3.1 3.8 1.5 1.8 2.8 0.3 0.8 0.5 1.2 3.0 0.7 0.5 1.9 Blue-winged teal 4 12.1 21.4 22.4 9.3 21.6 8.7 8.9 13.4 14.4 12.2 7.5 9.8 1.6 4.6 2.2 3.3 13.0 6.8 6.6 6.3 N. shoveler 9.4 14.9 4.8 3.0 5.7 1.2 2.7 4.8 4.4 0.1 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.1 4.5 1.6 1.1 1.6 N. Pintail 15.2 15.3 13.8 8.1 9.1 4.4 4.1 4.3 4.8 2.7 3.4 1.4 0.7 1.5 0.4 0.8 3.0 3.0 1.3 2.4 Subtotal:e rs: 111.8 131.4 104.8 69.7 123.4 35.9 43.5 83.7 70.8 35.3 43.7 35.9 12.2 14.5 14.6 21.3 69.6 45.9 33.1 38.9 Div Redhead 7.1 8.1 4.4 2.9 5.5 3.2 1.5 2.7 3.7 0.6 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7 1.4 3.1 0.5 1.3 Canvasback 2.2 2.8 5.7 1.6 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 1.1 0.3 Scaups 10.1 12.4 13.7 11.2 24.6 3.7 5.1 12.4 13.7 8.7 6.5 3.1 2.2 0.6 1.4 1.8 1.5 3.9 1.9 1.8 Ring-necked duck 1.1 1.9 1.2 1.6 3.1 0.8 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.5 Goldeneyes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.6 0.3 Bufflehead 1.6 1.8 1.7 0.7 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.3 Ruddy duck 10.6 16.0 9.9 5.4 13.0 2.5 2.7 5.2 13.9 3.5 7.0 6.9 2.3 1.5 1.9 1.4 6.4 7.4 4.2 5.2 Subtotal: 32.7 42.9 36.6 23.6 50.8 11.6 10.4 22.2 35.1 13.8 17.5 11.9 6.2 3.6 3.3 4.9 10.0 17.4 9.5 9.7 Miscellaneo Oldsquaw 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Eiders 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Scoters 1.1 0.0 0.8 1.4 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 Mergansers 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 Subtotal 1.1 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.7 1.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 Total ducks 145.6 174.2 142.3 94.9 174.9 48.6 53.9 106.0 105.9 49.1 61.2 47.9 18.6 18.1 17.9 26.6 79.5 63.3 42.8 48.8 1 Incomplete survey coverage. 2 Calculated using only Class II and III broods observed and assumed to be complete. 3 Only observed adult pairs and singles used. 4 Includes cinnamon teal. Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan 14.8 8 8 Appendix 1 (continued). Species/Year 1995 1996 1997 1998 19995 2000 2001 Broods: : Duck brood index 78.9 129.3 161.3 67.3 82.3 91.5 96.4 Average brood size2 5.6 5.9 5.6 5.5 6.6 5.4 6.3 Coot brood index 6.7 63.5 48.5 19.8 41.5 37.3 34.9 Late nesting index3 Dabblers: Mallard 11.8 34.0 23.8 26.6 106.8 33.2 25.2 Am. Black duck 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gadwall 7.5 17.7 5.5 11.1 36.8 9.1 5.4 Am. Wigeon 2.1 4.6 1.7 1.9 3.6 2.5 2.9 Green-winged teal 1.3 10.1 4.2 9.1 16.5 5.9 3.3 Blue-winged teal 4 7.6 31.9 10.2 15.0 37.0 11.5 8.3 N. shoveler 2.4 5.7 1.8 2.4 11.7 3.8 2.5 N. Pintail 3.0 3.8 5.9 4.3 6.6 4.6 5.5 Subtotal: 35.7 107.9 53.0 70.4 219.0 70.6 53.1 Divers: Redhead 1.5 3.1 1.8 2.7 10.4 1.3 1.1 Canvasback 0.9 0.5 1.3 0.7 0.9 1.3 0.2 Scaups 2.3 4.4 2.0 2.8 7.2 4.2 4.4 Ring-necked duck 1.3 2.1 0.2 0.2 3.8 2.9 1.6 Goldeneyes 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.4 Bufflehead 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.0 2.5 0.5 Ruddy duck 7.1 13.6 9.4 8.0 31.6 13.6 6.1 Subtotal: 13.1 24.8 15.7 15.1 54.2 25.9 15.3 Miscellaneous: Oldsquaw 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Eiders 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Scoters 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Mergansers 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 Subtotal 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.8 Total ducks 48.8 133.0 69.0 86.0 273.6 97.1 69.2 1 Incomplete survey coverage. 2 Calculated using only Class II and III broods observed and assumed to be complete. 3 Only observed adult pairs and singles used. 4 Includes cinnamon teal. 5 Late nesting data for strata 34 and 35 was not collected according to survey methodology, 1999 data are not used in averages or comparisons. Waterfowl Production Survey, 2001 Southern Saskatchewan 9 9 |
Original Filename | waterfowl_production_saskatchewan01.pdf |
Date created | 2013-01-23 |
Date modified | 2013-03-06 |
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