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Trumpeter Swan Population Status, 2000 U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service TRUMPETER SWAN POPULATION STATUS, 2000 February 2001 Compiled by David F. Caithamer Division of Migratory Bird Management U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 11500 American Holly Drive Laurel, MD 20708-4016 USA Abstract The sizes of the three populations of trumpeter swans (Cygnus buccinator) in North America were assessed in 2000. Methods for the survey were similar to those of previous surveys, which generally occurred at 5 year intervals beginning in 1968. Collectively, a total of 23,647 swans were counted, which is about 3,900 (20%) more than in 1995 and 20,000 (535%) more than in 1968. Each of the three populations grew to record high levels in 2000. The Pacific Coast Population (PCP) remains numerically largest at 17,551, which is 8% higher than its 1995 estimate. The Rocky Mountain Population (RMP) increased 46% since 1995 to 3,666 swans. The Interior Population (IP) increased more than 150% since 1995 and now numbers 2,430 individuals. Introduction and Methods This report summarizes results of a trumpeter swan survey that was conducted during 2000 across their entire range in North America. The last comparable survey was conducted in 1995. Similar surveys also were conducted in 1968, 1975, and then every 5 years. This report compares findings from 2000 to those of previous quinquennial surveys (U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service et al. 1994, Caithamer 1996). The purpose of this survey is to provide assessments of the status of the Pacific Coast, Rocky Mountain, and Interior populations of trumpeter swans in North America. The 2000 survey was a coordinated effort of numerous agencies and persons. Most areas were surveyed aerially or by a network of ground observers. Surveys were believed to be complete censuses except for northern British Columbia and the Yukon Territory, where population estimates were based on random samples across the suspected range of trumpeter swans. Some information, such as number of single, paired, and flocked swans, was not gathered at all areas. No efforts were directed at surveying captive swans. The median starting and ending date for surveys were 20 August and 11 September, respectively. However, surveys began as early as 15 April 2000 and ended as late as 25 January 2001. All population estimates were treated as though they were measured without error. Results and Discussion The late-summer ranges of each population of swans changed since 1995. New occurrences were noted in New York and Ohio, and at new areas in Alberta, British 1 Columbia, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Ontario, Wisconsin, and elsewhere. However, swans were no longer observed at specific sites in northern California, Washington, and southwestern Saskatchewan where they previously occurred. A total of 23,647 trumpeter swans were present in late-summer 2000 (Table 1, Appendix A). The total population increased by about 3,900 birds (20%) since 1995 and 20,000 birds (>500%) since 1968 (Table 2). Each population increased since 1995 to record-highs this year (Figure 2). The PCP increased by about 1,200 (8%) since 1995 and remained numerically larger than the RMP and IP combined. Since 1995, the RMP increased by about 1,100 birds (46%) while the IP increased by about 1,500 birds (>150%). Growth in the PCP was due to an increase in Alaska. In the Yukon Territory and British Columbia, the flock size in 2000 (396, 95% confidence range = 348-444) was similar to its size in 1995 (490, 95% confidence range = 197-783). Growth in the RMP since 1995 was due to increased numbers of swans in the Interior Canada and Tri-State flocks. A small portion (#5%) of the increase in the Interior Canada flock was possibly due to expanded survey coverage of northern Alberta in 2000 (G. Beyersbergen, Canadian Wildlife Service, personal communication). The number of swans in restoration areas decreased slightly since 1995; decreases were observed in both the number of cygnets and adults. Annual surveys (Reed 2000) indicate that size of the Tri-State and Restoration flocks were relatively stable during 1983-1991, and that they decreased by about 125 swans in 1993. Since 1994, the combined size of the Tri-State and Restoration flocks have increased slightly (6%) (Reed 2000). In Oregon, some swans may have dispersed into unsurveyed areas and thus the current estimate may be biased low (B. Bales, Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife, personal communication). Across the range of the IP, swan numbers continued to increase. Some of these increases are the result of continuing intensive efforts to reintroduce swans into historic parts of their range (J. Johnson, Michigan State University, personal communication). Cygnets comprised 19% of the PCP, which is lower than 5 of the 6 previous surveys (Table 3). In the RMP, cygnets accounted for 30% of all swans, which was higher than in 5 of the 6 previous surveys. Cygnets also accounted for 30% of the swans in the IP, which was typical of other years. Brood sizes averaged 2.8-3.6 in the 3 populations (Table 1). Brood sizes in Alaska averaged less (difference between means = -0.4) in 2000 than in 1995; this is consistent with the smaller proportion of cygnets observed in Alaska in 2000 (Conant et al. 2001). Average brood size in the IP was greater (difference between means = +0.7) than in 1995, and accounts for the higher proportion of young observed in 2000. In the RMP, brood size information was generally not collected for the Tri-State and Restoration Area flocks in 2000. Thus, it was impossible to compare brood sizes from these two flock to those from other years. The proportion of paired birds was lower in the IP and Restoration Flocks of the RMP than in the Alaska and Interior Canada flocks (Table 4). The lower proportion of pairs may be related to recent and ongoing population restoration programs in these areas (Caithamer 1996). 2 Literature Cited Caithamer, D. F. 1996. 1995 Survey of trumpeter swans in North America. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service unpublished report. 15pp. Conant, B., J. I. Hodges, D. J. Groves, and J. G. King. 2001. Alaska trumpeter swan status report – 2000. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service unpublished report. 37pp. Reed, T. 2000. 2000 fall trumpeter swan survey. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service unpublished report. 28pp. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Canadian Wildlife Service, and The Trumpeter Swan Society. 1994. The North American trumpeter swan status report – 1990. Unpublished report. 11pp. Acknowledgements The data were collected by >140 individuals working for various agencies (Appendix B), and others who reported incidental observations. Any omissions from this list is accidental and I offer my apology. R. Andrews, B. Bales, G. Beyersbergen, B. Bortner, K. Bousquet, A. Breault, B. Conant, J. Cornely, D. Groves, C. Harris, J. Hawkings, J. Johnson, S. Kittelson, R. Kraft, H. Lumsden, S. Matteson, M. Norton, T. Reed, D. Sherman, M. St. Louis, and B. Swift coordinated regional surveys and/or summarized regional data. G. Beyersbergen, B. Conant, J. Cornely, D. Groves, J. Johnson, G. Smith, and R. Trost provided helpful comments on early drafts of this report. M. Otto provided statistical advice and assisted analyzing data from northern British Columbia and the Yukon Territory. Financial support for surveys in Ontario were provided by Lake Erie Steel Company, Paletta International Corporation, and Mrs. Allison’s Cookies. All Division of Migratory Bird Management reports are available at our home page (http://migratorybirds.fws.gov). 3 Table 1. Demographics of Pacific Coast, Rocky Mountain, and Interior populations of trumpeter swans in late-summer, 2000. Brood Size Population Flock Total Swans White Swans1 Cygnets % Cygnets Broods 02 SD3 Pacific Coast Alaska 17,155 13,934 3,221 19 1,149 2.8 1.4 Yukon and Northwestern British Columbia 396 291 106 27 28 3.5 1.4 Pacific Coast Total 17,551 14,225 3,327 19 1,177 2.8 1.4 Rocky Mountain Interior Canada 3,184 2,175 1,009 32 329 3.1 1.9 Tri-State 426 324 102 24 Restoration Areas 56 49 7 13 Rocky Mountain Total 3,666 2,548 1,118 30 3.1 1.9 Interior High Plains 370 267 103 28 32 3.2 1.4 Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways 2,060 1,443 617 30 3.6 2.1 Interior Total 2,430 1,710 720 30 3.6 2.0 North American Total 23,647 18,483 5,165 22 3.0 1.5 1Adult and sub-adult swans. 2Weighted average based on number of broods observed in each survey area. 3Weighted average of standard deviations based on number of broods observed in each survey area. Table 2. Sizes of trumpeter swan populations, 1968-2000.1 Population Flock 1968 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Pacific Coast Alaska 2,847 4,170 7,696 9,459 13,337 15,823 17,155 Yukon and Northwestern British Columbia 45 119 489 396 Pacific Coast Total 2,847 4,170 7,696 9,504 13,456 16,312 17,551 Rocky Mountain Interior Canada2 106 131 379 614 1,117 2,076 3,184 Tri-State2 585 537 485 507 589 364 426 Restoration Areas 120 131 111 74 41 77 56 Rocky Mountain Total2 811 799 975 1,195 1,747 2,517 3,666 Interior High Plains 64 116 164 158 185 240 370 Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways 0 0 12 51 237 687 2,060 Interior Total 64 116 176 209 422 927 2,430 North American Total 3,722 5,085 8,847 10,908 15,625 19,756 23,647 1Estimates for 1968-1990 were sums of estimates reported for individual areas in Appendices 1, 2, and 3 of U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service et al. (1994); estimates from 1995 were from Caithamer (1996). 2Estimates reported in 1975 were obtained in 1974 or 1975. Table 3. Percentage of trumpeter swans that were cygnets, 1968-2000.1 Population Flock 1968 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Pacific Coast Alaska 32 28 32 18 27 24 19 Yukon and Northwestern British Columbia 13 37 39 27 Pacific Coast Total 32 28 32 18 27 25 19 Rocky Mountain Interior Canada2 29 33 27 30 32 30 32 Tri-State2 26 15 5 27 25 15 24 Restoration Areas 18 18 31 8 27 14 13 Rocky Mountain Total2 25 18 16 28 30 28 30 Interior High Plains 33 30 27 40 34 21 28 Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways 0 14 27 26 30 Interior Total 33 30 25 33 30 25 30 North American Total 31 27 30 19 27 25 22 1Estimates for 1968-1990 were from estimates reported for individual areas in Appendices 1, 2, and 3 of U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service et al. (1994); estimates from 1995 were from Caithamer (1996). 2Estimates reported in 1975 were obtained in 1974 or 1975. Table 4. Social status of white (adult and sub-adult) trumpeter swans observed in late-summer, 2000. Population Flock % Paired % Single % Flocked n Pacific Coast Alaska 72 6 22 13,934 Yukon and Northwestern British Columbia Pacific Coast Total 72 6 22 13,934 Rocky Mountain Interior Canada 69 6 26 1,118 Tri-State Restoration Areas 46 31 23 13 Rocky Mountain Total 69 6 26 1,131 Interior High Plains 49 4 48 267 Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways 37 6 57 338 Interior Total 42 5 53 605 North American Total 70 6 23 15,670 7 Fig. 1. Approximate ranges of Pacific Coast, Rocky Mountain, and Interior populations of trumpeter swans during late-summer of 2000. Pacific Coast Population Rocky Mountain Population Interior Population 8 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 1968 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Year Population Size Total Pacific Coast Rocky Mountain Interior Fig. 2. Trends in sizes of the Pacific Coast, Rocky Mountain, Interior, and total populations of trumpeter swans in North America, 1968-2000. 9 Appendix A. Raw data from the trumpeter swan survey, 2000. Population Flock Region State Start End Method1 Coverage2 Adults Cygnets Total Swans Flocked Adults Flocks PACIFIC PACIFIC AK AK 24-Jul-00 9-Sep-00 1 1 13934 3221 17155 3049 530 PACIFIC PACIFIC YKNBC YKBC 1-Aug-00 24-Aug-00 1 2 291 106 396 95 ROCKY INTCAN YKNBC YKBC 1-Aug-00 24-Aug-00 1 2 1057 469 1526 369 ROCKY INTCAN NEBC BC 13-Aug-00 18-Sep-00 1 1 244 119 363 41 10 ROCKY INTCAN SEBC BC 13-Aug-00 13-Aug-00 2 1 2 4 6 0 0 ROCKY INTCAN MCK MCK 21-Aug-00 24-Aug-00 1 1 204 90 294 33 8 ROCKY INTCAN AB AB 7-Aug-00 14-Sep-00 5 1 668 327 995 212 21 ROCKY INTCAN SK SK 24-Jul-00 24-Jul-00 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKY TRISTATE MT MT 13-Sep-00 20-Sep-00 1 1 127 24 151 ROCKY TRISTATE WY WY 13-Sep-00 24-Sep-00 5 1 95 38 133 ROCKY TRISTATE IDFEDER ID 15-Sep-00 20-Sep-00 5 1 102 40 142 ROCKY TRISTATE IDSTATE ID 15-Apr-00 1-Sep-00 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR COLUMBIA WA 15-May-00 15-May-00 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR TURNBULL WA 15-Aug-00 15-Aug-00 2 1 1 0 1 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR RUBY NV 15-Sep-00 15-Sep-00 1 1 26 2 28 ROCKY RESTOR MALHEUR OR 18-Sep-00 18-Sep-00 2 1 10 5 15 ROCKY RESTOR SUMMER OR 21-Sep-00 21-Sep-00 5 1 3 0 3 3 1 ROCKY RESTOR OTHEROR OR 21-Sep-00 21-Sep-00 5 1 9 0 9 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR LKLAMCA CA 15-Aug-00 15-Aug-00 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 INTERIOR HIPLAINS SD SD 20-Aug-00 8-Sep-00 1 1 33 20 53 13 3 INTERIOR HIPLAINS NE NE 20-Aug-00 8-Sep-00 1 1 200 66 266 105 15 INTERIOR HIPLAINS WY WY 20-Aug-00 8-Sep-00 1 1 2 0 2 0 0 INTERIOR HIPLAINS SKMAN SKMAN 28-Aug-00 18-Sep-00 1 1 32 17 49 9 1 INTERIOR MISATFLY ON ON 1-Sep-00 30-Sep-00 5 1 277 48 325 INTERIOR MISATFLY MN MN 1-May-00 25-Jan-01 5 1 612 302 914 INTERIOR MISATFLY WI WI 1-Jun-00 30-Sep-00 5 1 86 114 200 INTERIOR MISATFLY MI MI 1-Sep-00 30-Nov-00 2 1 274 127 401 169 20 INTERIOR MISATFLY IA IA 1-Sep-00 15-Oct-00 2 1 130 6 136 INTERIOR MISATFLY OH OH 29-Aug-00 29-Aug-00 5 1 51 13 64 17 4 INTERIOR MISATFLY NY NY 1-Jun-00 31-Aug-00 2 1 13 7 20 7 1 Appendix A. Concluded. Population Flock Region State Pairs W Cygnets Pairs W/O Cygnets Pairs Total Singles W/O Cygnets Singles W Cygnets Broods Mean Brood Size SE Brood Size N Brood Size3 PACIFIC PACIFIC AK AK 1119 3874 4993 869 30 1149 2.80 0.04 1149 PACIFIC PACIFIC YKNBC YKBC 88 20 28 3.49 0.23 37 ROCKY INTCAN YKNBC YKBC 316 55 163 2.88 0.20 48 ROCKY INTCAN NEBC BC 35 59 94 15 0 35 3.40 0.95 35 ROCKY INTCAN SEBC BC 1 0 1 0 0 1 4.00 1 ROCKY INTCAN MCK MCK 31 47 78 14 1 32 2.81 0.25 32 ROCKY INTCAN AB AB 96 116 212 30 2 98 3.37 0.17 98 ROCKY INTCAN SK SK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKY TRISTATE MT MT ROCKY TRISTATE WY WY ROCKY TRISTATE IDFEDER ID ROCKY TRISTATE IDSTATE ID 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR COLUMBIA WA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR TURNBULL WA 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR RUBY NV ROCKY RESTOR MALHEUR OR ROCKY RESTOR SUMMER OR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR OTHEROR OR 0 3 3 3 0 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR LKLAMCA CA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 INTERIOR HIPLAINS SD SD 4 5 9 2 0 4 5.00 0.71 4 INTERIOR HIPLAINS NE NE 24 22 46 3 0 24 2.75 0.28 24 INTERIOR HIPLAINS WY WY 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 INTERIOR HIPLAINS SKMAN SKMAN 4 6 10 3 0 4 4.25 0.63 4 INTERIOR MISATFLY ON ON 16 6 22 0 0 16 3.00 0.52 16 INTERIOR MISATFLY MN MN 77 3.92 0.44 28 INTERIOR MISATFLY WI WI 31 12 43 31 3.68 0.37 31 INTERIOR MISATFLY MI MI 39 11 50 5 0 39 3.26 0.29 39 INTERIOR MISATFLY IA IA 2 15 17 25 0 2 3.00 2.00 2 INTERIOR MISATFLY OH OH 5 5 10 14 0 5 2.70 0.66 5 INTERIOR MISATFLY NY NY 1 2 3 0 0 1 7.00 1 1Survey method (1= aerial, 2=ground, 3=other, 5=combination of methods). 2Extent of survey coverage (1=believed complete census, 2=sample of entire range, 3=census of part of range). 3Number of broods observed to estimate mean brood size. Appendix B. Participants in the 2000 survey of trumpeter swans. Akaran, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Akola, E. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Anderson, E. Alberta Environment Andrews, R. Iowa Department of Natural Resources Arment, R. Research Air Arner, B. Ducks Unlimited Canada Artmann, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Bales, B. Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife Barber, J. Ohio Division of Wildlife Bartos, A. Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources Bertram, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Beveridge, E. Saskatchewan Environment and Resource Management Beyersbergen, G. Canadian Wildlife Service Bortner, B. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Bouffard, S. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Bousquet, K. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Breault, A. Canadian Wildlife Service Bryant, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Burns, E. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Calverly, B. Ducks Unlimited Canada Catterson, N. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Colvert, I. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Conant, B. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Cornely, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Crawford, D. Minnesota Department of Natural Resources Dau, C. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Denison, D. Coyote Air Service Duncan, D. Canadian Wildlife Service Eldridge, B. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Erkins, R. Idaho Department of Fish and Game Fetting, A. Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources Ficht, J. Alberta Environment Fischer, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Foote, L. Ducks Unlimited Canada Found, C. Alberta Environment Freese, L. Parks Canada Froggatt, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Gilbert, D. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Gorecki, L. Parks Canada Groves, D. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Guldager, N. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (volunteer) Halverson, L. Parks Canada Hamilton, S. Hans, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Harris, C. Idaho Department of Fish and Game Hawkings, J. Canadian Wildlife Service Hawkings, J. Canadian Wildlife Service Heckbert, M. Alberta Environment Henry, D. Parks Canada Hernandez, H. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 12 Appendix B. Continued. Heuer, T. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Hill, R. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Hobson, D. Alberta Environment Hodges, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Hodges, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (volunteer) Hoffman, D. Iowa Department of Natural Resources Hudolin, M. Wye Marsh Center Hughes, G. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Huhndorf, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Johnson, J. Kellogg Bird Sanctuary Jones, B Manitoba Natural Resources Jozwiak, E. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Kampshoff, M. U.S. Forest Service Kaye, R. Parks Canada King, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service King, R. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Kingdon, B. Private Kirtley-Wark, M. Alberta Environment Kittelson, S. Minnesota Department of Natural Resources Kraft, R. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Kujat, C. Alberta Environment Kunnas, F. Alberta Environment Larned, A. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Larned, B. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Larned, S. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (volunteer) Larson, K. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Latour, P. Canadian Wildlife Service Lawrence, S. Private Laws, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Linck, M. Hennepin Parks and The Trumpeter Swan Society Lucey, B. U.S. Forest Service Lumsden, H. Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources, retired Lust, G. Mountain Air Research Mackay, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Mallek, E. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Manthey, P. Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources Matteson, S. Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources Mauser, D. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Maxwell, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service McCormick, K. Canadian Wildlife Service McEneaney, T. U.S. National Park Service Merilies, B. Morris, R. Idaho Department of Fish and Game Morse, J. U.S. Geological Survey Moyles, D. Alberta Environment Nelson, S. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Norstrom, W. Alberta Environment Norton, M. Canadian Wildlife Service Olson, D. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Orcutt, D. Idaho Department of Fish and Game 13 Appendix B. Concluded. Palmer, B. Idaho Department of Fish and Game Patla, S. Wyoming Fish and Game Payne, T. U.S. Army Petersen, P. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Peterson, J. ABR, Incorporated Pollard, B. Ducks Unlimited Canada Pryor, P. Canadian Wildlife Service Quinlan, R. Alberta Environment Reed, T. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Ritchie, B. ABR, Incorporated Roberts, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Roetker, F. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Rule, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Sarvis, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Schwalen, N. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Shaw, R. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Shea, R. The Trumpeter Swan Society Sherman, D. Ohio Division of Wildlife Simpson, F. Ducks Unlimited Canada Skjonsberg, T. Parks Canada Smith, T. Manitoba Natural Resources Smoke, B. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Spernak Airways Spindler, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service St. Louis, M. Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife Staley, R. Parks Canada Stradley, R. U.S. National Park Service Strassburg, W. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Swift, B. New York Division of Fish, Wildlife, and Marine Resources Tabor, J. Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife Tak, P. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Thomas, G. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Trenholm, M. Minnesota Department of Natural Resources Twist, B. Western Montana Aviation Vivion, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Ward, D. U.S. Geological Survey Watt, R. Waterton Lakes National Park Webb, D. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Whitney, D. Private Whitworth, K. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Williams, G. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Wooten, G. Idaho Department of Fish and Game Wright, K. Alberta Conservation Association 14
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Title | Trumpeter swan population status, 2000 |
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Transcript | Trumpeter Swan Population Status, 2000 U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service TRUMPETER SWAN POPULATION STATUS, 2000 February 2001 Compiled by David F. Caithamer Division of Migratory Bird Management U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 11500 American Holly Drive Laurel, MD 20708-4016 USA Abstract The sizes of the three populations of trumpeter swans (Cygnus buccinator) in North America were assessed in 2000. Methods for the survey were similar to those of previous surveys, which generally occurred at 5 year intervals beginning in 1968. Collectively, a total of 23,647 swans were counted, which is about 3,900 (20%) more than in 1995 and 20,000 (535%) more than in 1968. Each of the three populations grew to record high levels in 2000. The Pacific Coast Population (PCP) remains numerically largest at 17,551, which is 8% higher than its 1995 estimate. The Rocky Mountain Population (RMP) increased 46% since 1995 to 3,666 swans. The Interior Population (IP) increased more than 150% since 1995 and now numbers 2,430 individuals. Introduction and Methods This report summarizes results of a trumpeter swan survey that was conducted during 2000 across their entire range in North America. The last comparable survey was conducted in 1995. Similar surveys also were conducted in 1968, 1975, and then every 5 years. This report compares findings from 2000 to those of previous quinquennial surveys (U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service et al. 1994, Caithamer 1996). The purpose of this survey is to provide assessments of the status of the Pacific Coast, Rocky Mountain, and Interior populations of trumpeter swans in North America. The 2000 survey was a coordinated effort of numerous agencies and persons. Most areas were surveyed aerially or by a network of ground observers. Surveys were believed to be complete censuses except for northern British Columbia and the Yukon Territory, where population estimates were based on random samples across the suspected range of trumpeter swans. Some information, such as number of single, paired, and flocked swans, was not gathered at all areas. No efforts were directed at surveying captive swans. The median starting and ending date for surveys were 20 August and 11 September, respectively. However, surveys began as early as 15 April 2000 and ended as late as 25 January 2001. All population estimates were treated as though they were measured without error. Results and Discussion The late-summer ranges of each population of swans changed since 1995. New occurrences were noted in New York and Ohio, and at new areas in Alberta, British 1 Columbia, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Ontario, Wisconsin, and elsewhere. However, swans were no longer observed at specific sites in northern California, Washington, and southwestern Saskatchewan where they previously occurred. A total of 23,647 trumpeter swans were present in late-summer 2000 (Table 1, Appendix A). The total population increased by about 3,900 birds (20%) since 1995 and 20,000 birds (>500%) since 1968 (Table 2). Each population increased since 1995 to record-highs this year (Figure 2). The PCP increased by about 1,200 (8%) since 1995 and remained numerically larger than the RMP and IP combined. Since 1995, the RMP increased by about 1,100 birds (46%) while the IP increased by about 1,500 birds (>150%). Growth in the PCP was due to an increase in Alaska. In the Yukon Territory and British Columbia, the flock size in 2000 (396, 95% confidence range = 348-444) was similar to its size in 1995 (490, 95% confidence range = 197-783). Growth in the RMP since 1995 was due to increased numbers of swans in the Interior Canada and Tri-State flocks. A small portion (#5%) of the increase in the Interior Canada flock was possibly due to expanded survey coverage of northern Alberta in 2000 (G. Beyersbergen, Canadian Wildlife Service, personal communication). The number of swans in restoration areas decreased slightly since 1995; decreases were observed in both the number of cygnets and adults. Annual surveys (Reed 2000) indicate that size of the Tri-State and Restoration flocks were relatively stable during 1983-1991, and that they decreased by about 125 swans in 1993. Since 1994, the combined size of the Tri-State and Restoration flocks have increased slightly (6%) (Reed 2000). In Oregon, some swans may have dispersed into unsurveyed areas and thus the current estimate may be biased low (B. Bales, Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife, personal communication). Across the range of the IP, swan numbers continued to increase. Some of these increases are the result of continuing intensive efforts to reintroduce swans into historic parts of their range (J. Johnson, Michigan State University, personal communication). Cygnets comprised 19% of the PCP, which is lower than 5 of the 6 previous surveys (Table 3). In the RMP, cygnets accounted for 30% of all swans, which was higher than in 5 of the 6 previous surveys. Cygnets also accounted for 30% of the swans in the IP, which was typical of other years. Brood sizes averaged 2.8-3.6 in the 3 populations (Table 1). Brood sizes in Alaska averaged less (difference between means = -0.4) in 2000 than in 1995; this is consistent with the smaller proportion of cygnets observed in Alaska in 2000 (Conant et al. 2001). Average brood size in the IP was greater (difference between means = +0.7) than in 1995, and accounts for the higher proportion of young observed in 2000. In the RMP, brood size information was generally not collected for the Tri-State and Restoration Area flocks in 2000. Thus, it was impossible to compare brood sizes from these two flock to those from other years. The proportion of paired birds was lower in the IP and Restoration Flocks of the RMP than in the Alaska and Interior Canada flocks (Table 4). The lower proportion of pairs may be related to recent and ongoing population restoration programs in these areas (Caithamer 1996). 2 Literature Cited Caithamer, D. F. 1996. 1995 Survey of trumpeter swans in North America. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service unpublished report. 15pp. Conant, B., J. I. Hodges, D. J. Groves, and J. G. King. 2001. Alaska trumpeter swan status report – 2000. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service unpublished report. 37pp. Reed, T. 2000. 2000 fall trumpeter swan survey. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service unpublished report. 28pp. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Canadian Wildlife Service, and The Trumpeter Swan Society. 1994. The North American trumpeter swan status report – 1990. Unpublished report. 11pp. Acknowledgements The data were collected by >140 individuals working for various agencies (Appendix B), and others who reported incidental observations. Any omissions from this list is accidental and I offer my apology. R. Andrews, B. Bales, G. Beyersbergen, B. Bortner, K. Bousquet, A. Breault, B. Conant, J. Cornely, D. Groves, C. Harris, J. Hawkings, J. Johnson, S. Kittelson, R. Kraft, H. Lumsden, S. Matteson, M. Norton, T. Reed, D. Sherman, M. St. Louis, and B. Swift coordinated regional surveys and/or summarized regional data. G. Beyersbergen, B. Conant, J. Cornely, D. Groves, J. Johnson, G. Smith, and R. Trost provided helpful comments on early drafts of this report. M. Otto provided statistical advice and assisted analyzing data from northern British Columbia and the Yukon Territory. Financial support for surveys in Ontario were provided by Lake Erie Steel Company, Paletta International Corporation, and Mrs. Allison’s Cookies. All Division of Migratory Bird Management reports are available at our home page (http://migratorybirds.fws.gov). 3 Table 1. Demographics of Pacific Coast, Rocky Mountain, and Interior populations of trumpeter swans in late-summer, 2000. Brood Size Population Flock Total Swans White Swans1 Cygnets % Cygnets Broods 02 SD3 Pacific Coast Alaska 17,155 13,934 3,221 19 1,149 2.8 1.4 Yukon and Northwestern British Columbia 396 291 106 27 28 3.5 1.4 Pacific Coast Total 17,551 14,225 3,327 19 1,177 2.8 1.4 Rocky Mountain Interior Canada 3,184 2,175 1,009 32 329 3.1 1.9 Tri-State 426 324 102 24 Restoration Areas 56 49 7 13 Rocky Mountain Total 3,666 2,548 1,118 30 3.1 1.9 Interior High Plains 370 267 103 28 32 3.2 1.4 Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways 2,060 1,443 617 30 3.6 2.1 Interior Total 2,430 1,710 720 30 3.6 2.0 North American Total 23,647 18,483 5,165 22 3.0 1.5 1Adult and sub-adult swans. 2Weighted average based on number of broods observed in each survey area. 3Weighted average of standard deviations based on number of broods observed in each survey area. Table 2. Sizes of trumpeter swan populations, 1968-2000.1 Population Flock 1968 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Pacific Coast Alaska 2,847 4,170 7,696 9,459 13,337 15,823 17,155 Yukon and Northwestern British Columbia 45 119 489 396 Pacific Coast Total 2,847 4,170 7,696 9,504 13,456 16,312 17,551 Rocky Mountain Interior Canada2 106 131 379 614 1,117 2,076 3,184 Tri-State2 585 537 485 507 589 364 426 Restoration Areas 120 131 111 74 41 77 56 Rocky Mountain Total2 811 799 975 1,195 1,747 2,517 3,666 Interior High Plains 64 116 164 158 185 240 370 Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways 0 0 12 51 237 687 2,060 Interior Total 64 116 176 209 422 927 2,430 North American Total 3,722 5,085 8,847 10,908 15,625 19,756 23,647 1Estimates for 1968-1990 were sums of estimates reported for individual areas in Appendices 1, 2, and 3 of U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service et al. (1994); estimates from 1995 were from Caithamer (1996). 2Estimates reported in 1975 were obtained in 1974 or 1975. Table 3. Percentage of trumpeter swans that were cygnets, 1968-2000.1 Population Flock 1968 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Pacific Coast Alaska 32 28 32 18 27 24 19 Yukon and Northwestern British Columbia 13 37 39 27 Pacific Coast Total 32 28 32 18 27 25 19 Rocky Mountain Interior Canada2 29 33 27 30 32 30 32 Tri-State2 26 15 5 27 25 15 24 Restoration Areas 18 18 31 8 27 14 13 Rocky Mountain Total2 25 18 16 28 30 28 30 Interior High Plains 33 30 27 40 34 21 28 Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways 0 14 27 26 30 Interior Total 33 30 25 33 30 25 30 North American Total 31 27 30 19 27 25 22 1Estimates for 1968-1990 were from estimates reported for individual areas in Appendices 1, 2, and 3 of U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service et al. (1994); estimates from 1995 were from Caithamer (1996). 2Estimates reported in 1975 were obtained in 1974 or 1975. Table 4. Social status of white (adult and sub-adult) trumpeter swans observed in late-summer, 2000. Population Flock % Paired % Single % Flocked n Pacific Coast Alaska 72 6 22 13,934 Yukon and Northwestern British Columbia Pacific Coast Total 72 6 22 13,934 Rocky Mountain Interior Canada 69 6 26 1,118 Tri-State Restoration Areas 46 31 23 13 Rocky Mountain Total 69 6 26 1,131 Interior High Plains 49 4 48 267 Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways 37 6 57 338 Interior Total 42 5 53 605 North American Total 70 6 23 15,670 7 Fig. 1. Approximate ranges of Pacific Coast, Rocky Mountain, and Interior populations of trumpeter swans during late-summer of 2000. Pacific Coast Population Rocky Mountain Population Interior Population 8 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 1968 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Year Population Size Total Pacific Coast Rocky Mountain Interior Fig. 2. Trends in sizes of the Pacific Coast, Rocky Mountain, Interior, and total populations of trumpeter swans in North America, 1968-2000. 9 Appendix A. Raw data from the trumpeter swan survey, 2000. Population Flock Region State Start End Method1 Coverage2 Adults Cygnets Total Swans Flocked Adults Flocks PACIFIC PACIFIC AK AK 24-Jul-00 9-Sep-00 1 1 13934 3221 17155 3049 530 PACIFIC PACIFIC YKNBC YKBC 1-Aug-00 24-Aug-00 1 2 291 106 396 95 ROCKY INTCAN YKNBC YKBC 1-Aug-00 24-Aug-00 1 2 1057 469 1526 369 ROCKY INTCAN NEBC BC 13-Aug-00 18-Sep-00 1 1 244 119 363 41 10 ROCKY INTCAN SEBC BC 13-Aug-00 13-Aug-00 2 1 2 4 6 0 0 ROCKY INTCAN MCK MCK 21-Aug-00 24-Aug-00 1 1 204 90 294 33 8 ROCKY INTCAN AB AB 7-Aug-00 14-Sep-00 5 1 668 327 995 212 21 ROCKY INTCAN SK SK 24-Jul-00 24-Jul-00 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKY TRISTATE MT MT 13-Sep-00 20-Sep-00 1 1 127 24 151 ROCKY TRISTATE WY WY 13-Sep-00 24-Sep-00 5 1 95 38 133 ROCKY TRISTATE IDFEDER ID 15-Sep-00 20-Sep-00 5 1 102 40 142 ROCKY TRISTATE IDSTATE ID 15-Apr-00 1-Sep-00 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR COLUMBIA WA 15-May-00 15-May-00 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR TURNBULL WA 15-Aug-00 15-Aug-00 2 1 1 0 1 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR RUBY NV 15-Sep-00 15-Sep-00 1 1 26 2 28 ROCKY RESTOR MALHEUR OR 18-Sep-00 18-Sep-00 2 1 10 5 15 ROCKY RESTOR SUMMER OR 21-Sep-00 21-Sep-00 5 1 3 0 3 3 1 ROCKY RESTOR OTHEROR OR 21-Sep-00 21-Sep-00 5 1 9 0 9 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR LKLAMCA CA 15-Aug-00 15-Aug-00 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 INTERIOR HIPLAINS SD SD 20-Aug-00 8-Sep-00 1 1 33 20 53 13 3 INTERIOR HIPLAINS NE NE 20-Aug-00 8-Sep-00 1 1 200 66 266 105 15 INTERIOR HIPLAINS WY WY 20-Aug-00 8-Sep-00 1 1 2 0 2 0 0 INTERIOR HIPLAINS SKMAN SKMAN 28-Aug-00 18-Sep-00 1 1 32 17 49 9 1 INTERIOR MISATFLY ON ON 1-Sep-00 30-Sep-00 5 1 277 48 325 INTERIOR MISATFLY MN MN 1-May-00 25-Jan-01 5 1 612 302 914 INTERIOR MISATFLY WI WI 1-Jun-00 30-Sep-00 5 1 86 114 200 INTERIOR MISATFLY MI MI 1-Sep-00 30-Nov-00 2 1 274 127 401 169 20 INTERIOR MISATFLY IA IA 1-Sep-00 15-Oct-00 2 1 130 6 136 INTERIOR MISATFLY OH OH 29-Aug-00 29-Aug-00 5 1 51 13 64 17 4 INTERIOR MISATFLY NY NY 1-Jun-00 31-Aug-00 2 1 13 7 20 7 1 Appendix A. Concluded. Population Flock Region State Pairs W Cygnets Pairs W/O Cygnets Pairs Total Singles W/O Cygnets Singles W Cygnets Broods Mean Brood Size SE Brood Size N Brood Size3 PACIFIC PACIFIC AK AK 1119 3874 4993 869 30 1149 2.80 0.04 1149 PACIFIC PACIFIC YKNBC YKBC 88 20 28 3.49 0.23 37 ROCKY INTCAN YKNBC YKBC 316 55 163 2.88 0.20 48 ROCKY INTCAN NEBC BC 35 59 94 15 0 35 3.40 0.95 35 ROCKY INTCAN SEBC BC 1 0 1 0 0 1 4.00 1 ROCKY INTCAN MCK MCK 31 47 78 14 1 32 2.81 0.25 32 ROCKY INTCAN AB AB 96 116 212 30 2 98 3.37 0.17 98 ROCKY INTCAN SK SK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKY TRISTATE MT MT ROCKY TRISTATE WY WY ROCKY TRISTATE IDFEDER ID ROCKY TRISTATE IDSTATE ID 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR COLUMBIA WA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR TURNBULL WA 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR RUBY NV ROCKY RESTOR MALHEUR OR ROCKY RESTOR SUMMER OR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR OTHEROR OR 0 3 3 3 0 0 0 ROCKY RESTOR LKLAMCA CA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 INTERIOR HIPLAINS SD SD 4 5 9 2 0 4 5.00 0.71 4 INTERIOR HIPLAINS NE NE 24 22 46 3 0 24 2.75 0.28 24 INTERIOR HIPLAINS WY WY 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 INTERIOR HIPLAINS SKMAN SKMAN 4 6 10 3 0 4 4.25 0.63 4 INTERIOR MISATFLY ON ON 16 6 22 0 0 16 3.00 0.52 16 INTERIOR MISATFLY MN MN 77 3.92 0.44 28 INTERIOR MISATFLY WI WI 31 12 43 31 3.68 0.37 31 INTERIOR MISATFLY MI MI 39 11 50 5 0 39 3.26 0.29 39 INTERIOR MISATFLY IA IA 2 15 17 25 0 2 3.00 2.00 2 INTERIOR MISATFLY OH OH 5 5 10 14 0 5 2.70 0.66 5 INTERIOR MISATFLY NY NY 1 2 3 0 0 1 7.00 1 1Survey method (1= aerial, 2=ground, 3=other, 5=combination of methods). 2Extent of survey coverage (1=believed complete census, 2=sample of entire range, 3=census of part of range). 3Number of broods observed to estimate mean brood size. Appendix B. Participants in the 2000 survey of trumpeter swans. Akaran, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Akola, E. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Anderson, E. Alberta Environment Andrews, R. Iowa Department of Natural Resources Arment, R. Research Air Arner, B. Ducks Unlimited Canada Artmann, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Bales, B. Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife Barber, J. Ohio Division of Wildlife Bartos, A. Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources Bertram, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Beveridge, E. Saskatchewan Environment and Resource Management Beyersbergen, G. Canadian Wildlife Service Bortner, B. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Bouffard, S. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Bousquet, K. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Breault, A. Canadian Wildlife Service Bryant, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Burns, E. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Calverly, B. Ducks Unlimited Canada Catterson, N. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Colvert, I. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Conant, B. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Cornely, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Crawford, D. Minnesota Department of Natural Resources Dau, C. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Denison, D. Coyote Air Service Duncan, D. Canadian Wildlife Service Eldridge, B. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Erkins, R. Idaho Department of Fish and Game Fetting, A. Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources Ficht, J. Alberta Environment Fischer, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Foote, L. Ducks Unlimited Canada Found, C. Alberta Environment Freese, L. Parks Canada Froggatt, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Gilbert, D. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Gorecki, L. Parks Canada Groves, D. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Guldager, N. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (volunteer) Halverson, L. Parks Canada Hamilton, S. Hans, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Harris, C. Idaho Department of Fish and Game Hawkings, J. Canadian Wildlife Service Hawkings, J. Canadian Wildlife Service Heckbert, M. Alberta Environment Henry, D. Parks Canada Hernandez, H. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 12 Appendix B. Continued. Heuer, T. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Hill, R. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Hobson, D. Alberta Environment Hodges, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Hodges, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (volunteer) Hoffman, D. Iowa Department of Natural Resources Hudolin, M. Wye Marsh Center Hughes, G. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Huhndorf, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Johnson, J. Kellogg Bird Sanctuary Jones, B Manitoba Natural Resources Jozwiak, E. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Kampshoff, M. U.S. Forest Service Kaye, R. Parks Canada King, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service King, R. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Kingdon, B. Private Kirtley-Wark, M. Alberta Environment Kittelson, S. Minnesota Department of Natural Resources Kraft, R. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Kujat, C. Alberta Environment Kunnas, F. Alberta Environment Larned, A. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Larned, B. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Larned, S. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (volunteer) Larson, K. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Latour, P. Canadian Wildlife Service Lawrence, S. Private Laws, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Linck, M. Hennepin Parks and The Trumpeter Swan Society Lucey, B. U.S. Forest Service Lumsden, H. Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources, retired Lust, G. Mountain Air Research Mackay, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Mallek, E. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Manthey, P. Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources Matteson, S. Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources Mauser, D. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Maxwell, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service McCormick, K. Canadian Wildlife Service McEneaney, T. U.S. National Park Service Merilies, B. Morris, R. Idaho Department of Fish and Game Morse, J. U.S. Geological Survey Moyles, D. Alberta Environment Nelson, S. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Norstrom, W. Alberta Environment Norton, M. Canadian Wildlife Service Olson, D. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Orcutt, D. Idaho Department of Fish and Game 13 Appendix B. Concluded. Palmer, B. Idaho Department of Fish and Game Patla, S. Wyoming Fish and Game Payne, T. U.S. Army Petersen, P. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Peterson, J. ABR, Incorporated Pollard, B. Ducks Unlimited Canada Pryor, P. Canadian Wildlife Service Quinlan, R. Alberta Environment Reed, T. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Ritchie, B. ABR, Incorporated Roberts, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Roetker, F. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Rule, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Sarvis, J. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Schwalen, N. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Shaw, R. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Shea, R. The Trumpeter Swan Society Sherman, D. Ohio Division of Wildlife Simpson, F. Ducks Unlimited Canada Skjonsberg, T. Parks Canada Smith, T. Manitoba Natural Resources Smoke, B. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Spernak Airways Spindler, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service St. Louis, M. Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife Staley, R. Parks Canada Stradley, R. U.S. National Park Service Strassburg, W. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Swift, B. New York Division of Fish, Wildlife, and Marine Resources Tabor, J. Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife Tak, P. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Thomas, G. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Trenholm, M. Minnesota Department of Natural Resources Twist, B. Western Montana Aviation Vivion, M. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Ward, D. U.S. Geological Survey Watt, R. Waterton Lakes National Park Webb, D. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Whitney, D. Private Whitworth, K. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Williams, G. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Wooten, G. Idaho Department of Fish and Game Wright, K. Alberta Conservation Association 14 |
Original Filename | trumpswan_pop00.pdf |
Date created | 2013-01-23 |
Date modified | 2013-03-06 |
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